Semi-Daily Journal Archive

The Blogspot archive of the weblog of J. Bradford DeLong, Professor of Economics and Chair of the PEIS major at U.C. Berkeley, a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the U.S. Treasury.

Monday, October 30, 2006

A Likely Scenario for January

A likely scenario from Same Facts:

Scenario:

  1. The Democrats hold the New Jersey Senate seat, and carry Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Missouri, and Virginia, but not Tennessee (or Arizona, which is reportedly in play).
  2. Lieberman keeps his commitment to caucus with the Democrats. We organize the Senate, start holding hearings. The White House stonewalls.
  3. The Iraq Study Group reports, says Iraq is a mess, mistakes have been made, and a new strategy is needed.
  4. Rumsfeld resigns.
  5. Bush appoints Lieberman to Defense.
  6. Lieberman acknowledges Bush's bipartisan gesture, accepts "for the good of the country."
  7. Rell appoints a Republican to take Lieberman's seat.
  8. Cheney casts the deciding vote, reorganizing the Senate with the Republicans in the majority...

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